2012-11-01
2012-11-30
x new york city
x north carolina

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MSNBC 11
FOXNEWS 10
MSNBCW 9
CSPAN 6
CNN 5
CNNW 5
WHUT (Howard University Television) 4
KQED (PBS) 3
WETA 3
WRC 3
KGO (ABC) 2
KRCB (PBS) 2
CNBC 1
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English 82

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that had large hispanic populations. like nevada, like colorado, like florida. so i think they should be very worried when it comes to these battleground states, and even in ohio, where you have 166,000 registered latino voters going out to the polls, and an election this tight, they could absolutely be the deciding factor. i think it's going to be the october surprise of this election. >> i thought we already had one of those. >> early november. >> let me ask you, because we were asking our viewers before the break, if you could run the campaign in the last three days, what would you do if you have the reins of the campaign. if you were in charge of the romney campaign, anna, what would you do at this point? >> i think exactly what they are doing. they're having big rallies. showing a great deal of republican unity. they're showing a great deal of momentum. they've got over a hundred of the top republican surrogates out there fanning around the country, going to the swing states. so you've got to get your base out at this point. pretty mu there are very few undecided that are left. i

waiting on the other key swing states, iowa and nevada remain too early to call. north carolina, ohio, virginia, florida, colorado, too close to call. the senate, mostly breaking as expe expected, but the democrats did pick up three new seats. republicans projected to hold the house as well. >> all right. let's get straight to john harwood at the maproom to give us more color on what we're seeing as the most recent poll closings. over to you, john. >> we're almost completely closing the map of coloring in the map of all the states we knew in advance where they were going to faull. the only state where polls have not closed yet is the state of alaska. we're very confident mitt romney is going to win that based on polls before the election. so we're really waiting for those seven battleground states that haven't been filled in yet. again, to reiterate, as we've talked about before, if president obama wins the state of florida this race is over. he's going to be re-elected for a second term. but if mitt romney wins it, he's got to also win north carolina, he's got to win virginia, where

states, iowa, montana, nevada, and utah, two of them are going to be watched really closely. those, of course, are iowa and nevada. the "real clear politics" polling average in iowa right now shows president obama ahead by two and in nevada president obama ahead by 2.7. then later in the night at 11:00 p.m. and then 1:00 a.m., we'll have california, hawaii, idaho, oregon, washington, and then the last poll closing in alaska. unless this is a very strange night, those races will be interesting for governors races and senate and house races and state issues, but not necessarily for the presidency. unless things go very, very differently than expected to go. this is how your election viewing is going to unfold hour by hour on tuesday night. if you just exclude the states for the presidential race where everybody pretty much knows exactly how it's going to go and just the states where there is some question as to what's going to happen, here is a clip and save thing for you about these states. the battlegrounds. all right? states that you know are going to be important and everybody th

nevada, those four states, romney could win with pennsylvania and then the other swing states. >> virginia -- >> and florida. it's not his best -- it's not where he would want to be at this point in the campaign. but looking at where the polls have been in ohio all year, i think they think it's worth a shot. >> you think it makes a difference on the last day, the day people are voting for a candidate to show up in pennsylvania and ohio? >> here's the thing about that. in those other states, early voting is well under way and most of each sides' votes have already been banked. pennsylvania doesn't have a big early voting program. so everyone that's going to vote in pennsylvania is going to vote on tuesday. so he might think, maybe this is my chance, i have a captive audience there because obama hasn't been there much. and i've got more votes that are available to me in pennsylvania. >> we're all spending so much time thinking about ohio. but is there another state you're looking at closely right now? >> the thing i'm looking at is some of these states where hispanics are a risi

in colorado. but the president is doing well in iowa an nevada with the early vote which tells us a little bit how this thing is starting to break. >> we close this evening with this qstio what is the impact of the digital revolution on books, writers and publishing. joining me ken auletta, tim o reilly, jonathan safran foer an jane frieman. >> i like the idea of ebooks how they can democratize books. ma what i am afraid of is on platforms that have distracks an are inherently fast makes it harder to make books books. >> it is so important to have historical perspective. you know what we consider theook toy is a relatively recent historical phenomenon. i totally disagree that homer would recognize the book. you know actually we probably more recognize the ebook. >> rose: hurricane sandy, politics and publishing when we continue. >> funding for charlie rose was provided by the following: captioning sponsored by rose communications from our studios in new york city, this is charlie rose. >> this has been a difficult week for the city of new york four days after hurricane sandy made landfall life

, in virginia, even in ohio what they saw as a lead or slight lead now has slipped. novemb nevada off the table. it's changed this race. charlie and norah? >> political director john dickerson and national journal white house correspondent major garrett have been with us throughout this campaign. welcome. >> good to be with you. >> an exciting race. >> indeed, it is. >> let me start with john. what's the pathway, possible pathway for governor romney? >> well, let's start context. if we look at the map and we assign those states that are red states and blue states to the two candidates, president obama starts with 237. romney starts with 191. the president's already got a head start. and that means that if you look at all the possible scenarios, president obama has about 431 ways he can get to 270. mitt romney had just 76. let's look at mitt romney. the best possible scenario for him is that he wins florida. we'll give florida to him. then we'll give him the other big one, ohio. 18 electoral votes. then 15 in north carolina. let's give him 13 in virginia. still not there yet. 266. this gives you

reform. obama landed in nevada now. he has three stops in wisconsin. six in ohio. they thought they'd have the state locked up but they don't. six stops in ohio tells us while he has a lead, they are nervous about that. he will hit it six times. he is rolling out big celebrities. eva longoria in nevada. sheila e. she was banging on the drums. we're told on monday he will be in battleground states with jay-z and bruce springstein. you talked about david axelrod saying that are not going to lose michigan and not losing minnesota, not losing pennsylvania. if they do, he will shave off his mustache. new information on the shaving front. today, jay carney showed up to work on air force one without shaving says he is not going to shave between now and election day. superstition. he thinks it will help the president win re-election. we know jay carney will shave after election day. will david axelrod shave after election day? it may help us learn whether or not mr. romney will win or the president will win. >> dana: thank you. good thing when i was press secretary i didn't have such a rule

before we start to see results out west, but beyond nevada which we don't think is much of a toss-up as we once thought it was, the romney folks don't feel that great about nevada, so most of the action is on the east coast and in the midwest. of the states that have been called, it's been a good night for barack obama. he won pennsylvania, looks like he's going to win michigan. he won wisconsin huge. i think the one we've not talked enough about is new hampshire. the ap has called new hampshire for barack obama. that was a state that mitt romney thought he had a really good chance of winning, neighbors, massachusetts -- >> [inaudible] >> does he have a house there? >> i think so. >> talk about new hampshire. >> just looking at the exit polls, just unpacking them a little bit, and people are going to be looking at whether mitt romney really had the momentum that he seemed to or that they claimed. you're going to hear republicans say you heard former governor haley barbour over the weekend saying the storm had really blunted his momentum. if the president's handling of the storm wa

for democrats. virginia, montana are important if the democrats could pick off arizona or nevada. but things have been breaking for the democrats the past couple of weeks, i think. >> brown: you haven't had a chance to talk about missouri. >> missouri is a very interesting state where democrats hadn't been earning more than 50% of the votes even when winning because there were other factors. and and there is a third party candidate helping her a little bit. one interesting thing about deb fisher, it's the first time nebraska is sending a woman to the senate. and in new hampshire, the associated press called the democratic governor won there. she will be the only female democratic governor in the country next year because she's won. >> yes. >> brown: is that something you didn't know? did we stump you? >> there is a sitting woman democratic governor right now, but she chose not to seek reelection in north carolina. >> right, so in 2013. >> brown: and back to you, glen and judy. >> ifill: we find it very interesting to see how all this is shaking out partly because we see what's happening on t

lengthy discussions with the democratic leader, harry reid of nevada, as well as former majority leader and my good friend, george mitchell of maine, on this very question. i came away from these conversations reassured that my independence would be respected and that no party line commitment would be required or expected. and so i've decided to affiliate myself with the democratic caucus, because doing so will allow me to take independent positions on issues as they arise and at the same time will allow me to be an effective representative of the people of maine. one final word. by associating myself with one side, i am not in automatic opposition to the other. i'd like to repeat that. by associating myself with one side, i am not in automatic opposition to the other. in the situation of a republican house, a democratic senate but with substantial powers residing in the minority and a democratic president, no one party can control the outcome of our collective deliberations. as bill clinton might say, it's just arithmetic. in fact, this situation of a divided government has only two po

they went to nevada, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, ohio, virginia and new hampshire and these are the ones who have been the surrogates with mrs. obama, no, my husband is not a cold fish. we have dinner every night with the kids. you should know him. you should see that smile. i love him. you should love him. mrs. romney who is very close to her husband in the strategy, she plays a bigger role than just being the wife of, she is the one who said, he is not a stiff man. look at us. and, by the way, you talked about the grandchildren. there are 18 grandchildren. 13 of them are boys. >> all right. let us put that to the decision desk and see what that means. okay, barbara, stand by, team. we know you have so much more you're eager to say and we'll take a break at election night headquarters 2012 reporting on one of the great nights in democracy, one of the great privileges it is to vote as the polls still are open and a lot of this country projections come in and we have more, of course, to report on what social media is saying when we come back. >> announcer: multitouchscenes courtesy of microso

will hop over to nevada, a battleground state with six electoral votes. then the president finishes off his events in colorado. he has nine electoral votes. he is looking for in colorado. he then will spend the night in ohio where he campaigns tomorrow. so hitting four states in one day. meanwhile governor romney is focusing on virginia. he has several events in that one state today. virginia also a key battleground state with 1 electoral votes up for grabs. there will be a quiz on all the electoral votes later, right, jon? mention each and everyone. there you go. john roberts is live in virginia with more for us now. hi, john. >> reporter: good morning to you, jenna. tomorrow both president obama and governor romney will be in or around columbus, ohio. a testament to how important the state is. he is here in virginia was built on a site of the old meadow farms where the great secretariat was born. i will help you make your own analogis. whoever wins the commonwealth will win it by a nose. the governor pressing hard on economy today. "fox news poll" showing him with a nine point ad vage ove

battleground states pretty much in the bag. they think nevada, wisconsin, iowa, and new hampshire are all pretty much in the president's column. they feel like ohio is almost certain to go for them. and that, obviously, would give them more than 270 electoral votes there. they think they are a little ahead in virginia. i feel pretty confident about virginia, they think colorado and florida are -- they think colorado and florida are pure toss-ups right now. they could win those, they might lose them and as i said, north carolina's the only one of the nine battleground states where they are pessimistic, but the rest they feel good about. and when you think about that altogether, that's why they feel really self-assured they're going to win the electoral college tonight if not the popular vote. >> can you imagine? to finish out the two tiny villages in new hampshire, 23 votes for president obama, nine for romney, and tonight, the polls begin closing in eastern in kentucky at 6:00 eastern time. our first big clue on how the election might unfold will come at 7:00 when the polls close in anoth

seats in play, and when we get out west, california, washington, nevada, something good could happen for them. but it's going to be hard for the democrats to take over the house. >> brown: there a particular one or two you want to keep your eye on especially tonight? >> a lot of the demographic data we're looking at democrats have area where's they can gain, perhaps later on down the line, arizona, texas, as sturks mentioned, florida is another one, where the democrats are look at making long-lasting gains. they're making new seats. california is another one we will be watching. what is the bigger picture when it comes to the type of members of congress? are these people extreme on one part or the other? the way the lines are drawn that can happen. if you draw a district with extreme democrat or republican, you can end up with extremes in congress. >> woodruff: mark, you were telling me you were off the set talking to somebody, picking up some information about how the vote is coming in. >> the turnout right now is that what tino voters are voting at the levels that the obama people

we're going to win wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> good morning. look at that, how beautiful. we are here. we are here. what are we, a day away? this is so exciting. good morning, everyone. >> he said it wasn't going to be close. and then he said it was going to be close. maybe he was talking about president clinton. >> it's monday, november 5th, the day before election day. we have with us mike barnicle, senior political analyst, mark halperin, willie's just walked in. i don't know why you're laughing. >> me? >> no, mike. >> this lighting is disturbing. i don't know who did it. i don't like it. i'm just going to say that right up front. but i'm happy this weekend -- today because this weekend there was a huge sporting event that all the world tuned to. and i can tell you i've never been more proud of the vanderbilt commodores, dudley stadium. >> no, they went on the road and did that. they went to kentucky, to commonwealth stadium. sure. 40-0, 5-4. mika, o

're seeing in virginia, nevada and ohio, hundreds of thousands of ballots tasked and obviously in nevada, more than 50% of the electorate has already voted early. experts say that early voting has really changed the face of elections. listen. >> when you have 35 to 40% of the entire electorate voting early, some of them voting in september, much less october, early november, it's going to transform a presidential election. that's what we've seen. every day is now election day. >> with some states continuing early voting really right up to election day, we'll learn which party benefited. however, both president obama and governor romney say that they have the advantage with early voters. so both of them continue to encourage their base to get out and vote early. gregg, back to you. >> gregg: elizabeth, thanks very much. stick with fox news election night. complete coverage beginning here on the fox news channel at 6:00 p.m. tuesday with megyn kelly and bret baier. you can catch shepard smith beginning at 7:00 p.m. on the fox network. >> heather: brand-new information revealing the final m

. look at that right there. even if he wins nevada and colorado and north carolina, virginia, florida, new hampshire. he can't get there. >> that's the difficulty that the romney campaign is faced with, that mitt romney is faced with. the path of winning this electoral college is so tight, it's almost as if he has to draw an inside straight tomorrow in what's going to happen in the race. and he has to, in my view, if you take a look at ohio, florida and virginia, mitt romney basically has to go 3 for 3 in those states in order to win this race. >> right. the only way he can get around that, somehow if he wins, all his path in winning, virginia, north carolina and florida. let's say he doesn't get ohio but wins wisconsin. then he's got to run the table. nevada, and ohio. >> the long ball is pennsylvania. if they can get pen, it changes the maps entirely. but having been through this before, the day before an election, the interesting thing, both sides are convinced they're going to win. both sides. both candidates and both sides. >> do you still believe that? >> i still believe they're

that iowa and nevada are more or less won. early vote and demographic advantages they built and ground game advantages. you put those three together that's done they also believe they have a very good chance in new hampshire. a senior obama adviser said new hampshire is like chinatown for jake guinness. we feel about it but it leaves us a bit squeamish. >> let's talk about ohio because that has been the focus of so much of our attention ohio. it looks like that state is trending towards president obama. is that why we saw governor romney make a play for wisconsin, for pennsylvania, even men they were in over the weekend campaigning trying to enlarge the electoral map for romney? >> even if romney wins florida as we went through there, if he done win ohio he's got pind the votes somewhere else. if he loses ohio the paths they shrink down the single digits for governor romney. to increase his chances to get to 270 he has to find another state and they are looking for other states. pennsylvania, 96% of the vote happens on election day. not like when these early voting states. so, it's a razzle

and iowa and nevada. three of those four would give obama the presidency. so the romney campaign knows they're going to have to answer questions about this on the sunday shows tomorrow and on the final days of the race. they circulated a confidential memo to top republican leaders and surrogates. we got our hands on it. this is what they're saying. they're saying they're putting the obama campaign on defense. quote, mitt romney is up or tied with obama in every key battleground state forcing obama on defense in states he won by double digits in 2008 like wisconsin, iowa, michigan, minnesota, and pennsylvania. with the campaigns even on the ground and in early vote, gop enthusiasm is going to carry romney to victory. they're saying energy is on their side and look where obama is campaigning. the reality here is just because the obama campaign is playing defense that still doesn't mean they're going to lose those states. you can play defense and still win. so this is what the romney campaign is talking about today. >> what are both campaigns saying about their chances in ohio during these fin

are going to hold florida, virginia, nevada and colorado. what we are seeing is very high support for the president. so what we are seeing is about 74% of latinos saying they are either certain to or very likely to vote for the president and the worst case scenario, 64% of latinos are saying they are certain to vote for the president. is so with that, you are going to secure those states and don't forget, there is still a smattering of latinos in north carolina, wisconsin and iowa. 3%, 4%, but when it is so close, that 3% of mobilized latino turnout is going to make the difference. >> on, let's talk about pennsylvania because when we bring up close, pennsylvania right now, 47 to 47 in a state that normally, the president would have a comfortable lead in. stephanie cutter said on "morning joe" today that it's not realistic that governor romney should make a play for pennsylvania or even think about winning pennsylvania. what's your reaction to that? >> i'm glad they're giving governor romney advice because if he follows the advice, it will be the wrong advice. pennsylvania is in pl

of nevada. north carolina group known as alley pack plans to file a complaint that illegal immigrants are being allowed to vote. in a letter to nevada's secretary of state, they claim illegals are intentionally being register to do pressured to vote. they go on to say if not for this process, democratic senate majority leader harry reid would have never been relie detectorred back in 2010 -- elected in 2010. no comment from the secretary's office. >>> on the benghazi, libya terrorist attack, sources say the white house had to see the classified cable warning or consulate could in the defend against coordinated attack. one former top intelligence official says, quote, the national security council sees everything. if libya was of interest to this administration, the staff saw it. the cable was sent to the office of secretary of state hillary clinton august 16, less than one month before the attack. >>> frustrated drivers still waiting for hours in gas lines that don't move. to make matters worse, triple a says gas in new york city went up by an average of 9 cents a gallon. there has be

what a difference our efforts made in key states like ohio and wisconsin and nevada. >> i think without the efforts of organized labor, those three states would have been different. >> alisyn: that was the president of the afl-cio taking partial credit for the president's reelection win. exit polls show that he's right. let's take a look at the support from union households in three key swing states. the president won by 22 points in ohio. 32 points in wisconsin. and there was a 17-point spread in nevada. so what does president obama now owe the unions for supporting him? joining us is the author of "shadow boxing, government unions control america and rob taxpayers blind," mallory factor. nice to see you again. >> good to see you. >> alisyn: so that was richard trumka taking a victory lap, basically saying they turned out lots of support for the president. the president wouldn't have won without him. is he overstating the case? >> no. he's understating the case. it is unbelievable the amount of resources that the unions put out. they gave him a half a billion dollars and they had 400,0

new hampshire, pennsylvania, wisconsin, iowa, colorado, nevada, any of those. >> five. >> in the 3-2-1 strategy be virginia is one of the three. if you don't win virginia, how much of a problem? >> they're blocked. that is the strategy -- a lot of the electoral strategy was to block romney in the 3-2-1. can they block him in ohio and win that? can they block him in virginia? if they win virginia or ohio, either one, starts to make it tough. unless some other -- you start to change the strategy. >> quickly, virginia must-win for romney? >> it would be great to win it. historically republican. the opposite strategy is not only focus on 3-2-1 but keep broadening the battlefield. wisconsin, pennsylvania, iowa, colorado, nevada, new hampshire, minnesota. states that come in to play at one time or another. and so you would never want to be only have, one group of states you want as many alternatives as possible. insurance policies if you will. >> so, space cowboys you can stand down for a moment and crumple numbers. calling your sources. bret, it's 3-2-1 or it isn't. >> bret: there you g

and in colorado, nevada, places where he feels like they need to have that firewall where even if romney wins ohio, if the president can hold those states and keep romney from picking one of those off, which he'd still have to do even if he won ohio, they can still win the election. he's camping out in those places and spending more time there than down in florida or in virginia or a couple other of the really big states where there are a lot of electoral votes in the south. >> no doubt that the two candidates are the big pieces. other things to watch tonight and through the weekend, first lady, michelle obama, joe biden, also big ohio presence this weekend. president clinton on the democratic side doing a lot of campaigning. and tonight in ohio near cincinnati, romney, ryan, their families, and all their major surrogates, minus chris christie are going to be doing a big rally, john mccain, marco rubio, rob portman, one big rally in ohio and then spreading out. that's going to be a big event. and major surrogate action on both sides, nobody believing anything, as we like to say, on the field. >> a

nevada. and mika, back east in pennsylvania, a state that one poll had deadlocked over the weekend, we found out it wasn't really deadlocked, was it, now? >> no. >> that was a lie! >> the romney campaign tried to make an 11th hour push there. obama was declared the winner in pennsylvania fairly early in the night. >> and the one battleground state mitt romney did win last night was north carolina, a state that the president took in 2008. and where democrats held their conventions this summer. but this morning the president's also pulling ahead. and this is very important for the white house and a lot of people would say for the way we govern over the next four years. the president's pulling ahead in the popular vote. currently leading nationwide 50%-48%. >> aside from the race for the white house, get this. republicans who had hoped to win control of the senate last night, they were hoping for it, but it was democrats who were able to flip several seats in their favor. we're going to go over all of those a little later. democrats now hold 51 senate seats to republicans' 45 with races i

vote more than once. this is roxene reuben trying to vote twice. nevada woman cast a ballot on monday and tried to vote at another location later in the day. a worker turned her away after a routine check showed she had already voted. she has been charged with a felony. >> steve: maybe she forgot. meanwhile in massachusetts, a town they are using the word illegal is now illegal. the word was banned in the town of summerville when describing immigrants. the mayor outlawed the illegal word after a group of teenagers argued it was a hurtful term. instead the group wants the term to be used undocumented. the mayor says he wants summerville to be a city of hope for undocumented immigrants and legal immigrants around the world. >> brian: spanish passenger kicked off of her flight because of a book. airlines booted her off because she was breaking one piece of hand luggage rule. the book and scroll she was carrying couldn't fit in her bag. she claimed her credit card wasn't working so she couldn't pay the excess baggage fee. they defend their actions. >> steve: a book counts as one of the pi

in play, and when we get out west, california, washington, nevada, something good could happen for them. but it's going to be hard for the democrats to take over the house. >> brown: there a particul one or two you want to keep your eye on especially tonight? >> a lot of the demographic data we're looking atic democratshave area where's they can gain, perhaps later on down the line, arizona, texas, as sturks mentioned, florida is another one, wherehe democrats are look at making long-lastinge gains. they're making new seats. california is another one we will be atching. what is the bigger picture when it comes to the type of members ofat ngress?s? are these peopl extreme on one part or the other? the way the lines are drawn that can happen. if you draw a district with metreme democrat or republican, you can end up with extremestr n congress. >> woodruff: mark, you were telling me you were off the set talking to somebody, picking up some information about howthe vote is coming in. >> the turnout right now that what tino voters are voting at the levels that the obama people needed, if no

governors in nevada. they won election of 2010. susanna martinez who got rave reviews for the convention speech at the the republican national convention. you see the republican wing in congress being very, very white. a lot of males dominating the caucus. on the governor's side you have a lot of hispanic and indiana-american governor es showing the way. >> you make the point that four of the five women serving as governors in 2013 are republicans. you look at large majorities of african-americans. latino and asian americans voting democratic, the question may be how important for the gop's future are women and minority governors to the party, and they clearly have more at this point than actually the democrats do at that level? >> yeah, it's really remarkable when you look at the the governors and how they have a much more diversity and ethnicity and in gender. and it's a real model when you look at the the exit polling data showing how badly romney underperformed with female voters and how he just did terribly with hispanics and asian-americans. you look at -- if identity is going to b

the senate and fell short with candidates in colorado, chris o'donnell in delaware and sharon angle in nevada. then this year, look, if you didn't have the anomalies in missouri and indiana and candidates felt the need to explain their positions on rape and never a good plan in politics, much less just in social conversation -- >> in life. >> in life, yeah. i mean, but even if you tossed those out you are talking about a senate to otherwise be exactly what it was the day before. >> remarkable. >> i think republicans fall in to a trap looking at when's going on in the senate and don't sense a problem in terms of not just messaging but candidate selection. there's a problem of washington republicans in that they have lost the ability to push for the candidates they want in states. there's a backlash against that and need to find a way to connect with their grassroots and find candidates acceptable to the grass roots and competitive. >> absolutely. >> quickly, one thing on the martinez, rubio thing, you're right but it's more than a couple people on the stage and having the policies that want to

-up. if the president wins nevada, iowa, and pennsylvania, and mitt romney then wins colorado, new hampshire, and florida, that leaves three toss-ups. that's wisconsin, ohio, and virginia. if the candidates split ohio and wisconsin, that leaves virginia. that could make virginia the key to the 270 electoral votes needed to win. and the recent polls have the candidates at a statistical dead heat in that state. >>> right now the polls are already open in virginia. we've seen long lines all over the area ready to cast their ballots. news 4's megan mcgrath is live in alexandria with more on that. megan, good morning. >> reporter: good morning, aaron. you just heard eun explaining just how important virginia may be in this election. the way virginia goes may be the way the country goes in the presidential election. there is a lot of interest in this race. we're here at a polling place in alexandria. just a lot of activity here this morning. there were actually people waiting in line beginning at 4:30 this morning. theyn't wanted to make sure th got in this morning before they headed out to work.

carolina, nevada once. but they believe they can lose colorado. they can lose florida, but their firewall is wisconsin, iowa and ohio. and that if they hold two of those three, then their path to 270 is doable, and romney becomes very steep. i think when you look at it, it's about wisconsin, then peeling that off. and they've got to figure out how to win -- how to get ohio. if iowa's not there, if neither iowa nor nevada are there, then you've got to either go get new hampshire for romney, if you will, combine it with wisconsin, but you still, i think, have to grab ohio. >> wow, okay. and right now ohio is probably where the romney campaign, we mentioned earlier, they're all headed there. they're doubling down. can they regain, keep that momentum going, chuck, or even ezra at this point when you're looking at ohio and campaign strategy, what at this point given the fact that the president is sort of in the middle of this news story and catastrophe, national disaster, how do they even compete? >> at this point, it's all turnout is my view of the race. i don't think they're big game changer

, nevada, wisconsin, new hampshire, and either north carolina or virginia. that's extremely doable. >> mike, what poll jumps out at you? >> "columbus dispatch," highly accurate, two points, margin of error, statistical poll, a mail-in poll, a better sample with a long tail. >> i've been hearing people saying they are tired. want this to be over. they are tired of the commercials. tired of the phone calls. tired of the coverage in some cases. will voter fatigue play into this, and if it does, who does it help and who does it hurt? >> i think romney has the intensity advantage, but my guess is a lot of people will grumble and vote. hell, i'm in the business and i'm tired but i'm going to vote. >> hillary? >> i was in florida a couple weeks ago and just the assault on simple tv watching is tremendous, but, you know, i actually think that something like hurricane sandy brings home to people in a very tragic but important way how important government is, and i think that matters and people will vote. >> real quickly, just both your answers to this. what are the chances wednesday morning american

are michigan and nevada and new mexico. the reason i believe that is if you read the distorted media polls, most of them start off with a far too many democrats and far too few republicans. the latest pew survey has a national margin of 3 points for obama has 4 points more democrats than republicans. but the gallup poll which is the most authoritative last week concluded that there were now three points more republicans than democrats in the country. so it's d-4 and the reality is r-3. so it's a 7-points distortion. so if you are showing romney losing by 3 he's running by 4. if you take the finding in the pew poll that republicans are 6% more likely to turn out than democrats. so instead of it being plus 7, instead of switching to it a romney win by 4, you now have a romney win by 6 or 7. and then you take the undecided vote which always goes against the i am couple bent. you allocate it 2 to 1 for romney you are talking about a win of 7-10 points. if you go through each of the states you can do a similar calculation. i don't want to exaggerate by saying 5 or more. but i think you will be

states. colorado and wisconsin. then at 10:00, the last of the swing states close. iowa and nevada. that's a little indication of how the evening could play out. so you might want to put a pot of coffee on for sure. could be staying up until tomorrow night. we may not go to sleep. >> you are very possibly right. thank you. appreciate it. >> we should say the broadcast does begin a little earlier tomorrow morning. >> 4:00 a.m. >> can't wait. >> in case you have to go to sleep. >> who knows? after 2,000, anything goes. there's a live shot. clear skies across the area but it is cold this morning. temperatures falling back into the 20s for most of the region and here in town, low to mid 30s. 34 at regan national. going to be a cool afternoon. even with the bright sunshine yesterday we only got to 50. we'll fall short of that today. mid to upper 40s for daytime highs. you can see up and down the even sea board here. 33 new york city. hundreds of thousands without power to the north and east and very cold temperatures. chicago 30. richmond, 29. freezing temperatures here to start your day. le

my -- a lot of my career greeting voters in nevada and doing things that i think are environmentally important. climate change is an extremely important issue for me and i hope we can address it reasonably as we have seen with the storms that are overwhelming our country in the world. we need to do something about it. thank you. >> good afternoon. let me start by offering my congratulations to president obama and the first lady and the vice-president. like many americans i was hoping that this election would turn out differently. there rummy and paul ryan are good man and the leaders. i want to wish them and their families well. the american people have spoken. they have reelected president obama and they have reelected the putt -- a republican majority. there is a mandate in yesterday's results and a mandate to find a way to work together on the solutions to the challenges will face as a nation. a message today is not one of confrontation but one of conviction. in the weeks and months ahead we face a series of tremendous challenges and opportunities. there is the fiscal cliff. a com

by 58% to 40% in florida, 87% to 10% in colorado, at 80% to 17% in nevada, and 60% to 31% in virginia. we will go to one of the swing state in this election now. -- a swing states in this election now. caller: i love the statement that he made about self deportation. absolutely right. that is basically what the gop party is doing, not just to latinos, but everyone else. it is basically 47%. one of the things i would like to mention -- i wrote this over 20 years ago -- we had 36 men in mexico who controlled 54% of mexico's gross national product. how much can they need to buy? i am sick and tired of the 36 men in mexico -- the number of men in the united states, canada, central america, south america, europe and asia, etc., whose lust for more greed and power is destroying the entire planet for man and beast. that bothers me. i feel that they spend their lives living off a bus. -- off of us. as long as we obey their roles, everything is ok. -- off of us. as long as we obey their rules, everything is ok. guest: i think that oftentimes, the process that is taken in -- to having a greater

ran up hugemore joins with non-white vote errs and you look at a state like nevada. it's 1 in 7 voters is latino. nevada has one of the worst economies, i think it has the highest unemployment rate. >> foreclosures. >> it's basically an economic basket case, and yet the incumbent is able to prevail, and a lot of people will be looking at that and saying that's the effect of the latino vote. >> and smart republican strategists have already come to terms with this. had before the election, especially so this morning. some of them saying this morning that texas within eight years could turn into a swing state, one that republicans have taken for granted. 38 electoral votes but with the rising latino population that suddenly could go into that category. >> republican ted cruz won in the stat, by the way. >> of all the important things to come out of the election, stunned to see what you zeroed in on here, savannah. >> to use brian williams team, weed, marijuana. >> that's not brian williams term. people say that. >> that was one of the funnier moments. >> let's put it plainly, we're talkin

, virginia, colorado, nevada, those are states that used to be reliably conservative and seem to have gone into the, well, they all went into the obama category this time. we don't know about florida yet. you change those around, you have got a different president. what happened? >> well i think in large part it was the presence of the latino vote as a significant bloc, jon. i think this is part of the changing face of america in general and population. but in the specific context of last night's election it is the changing face of the american electorate. you take a state like florida, you know, used to be, you would think, it is cuban-americans. now as we heard, puerto ricans, people coming from all over latin america. they are not reliably republican voters. in fact, last night, cuban-americans went for romney but the rest of that latino population, way outnumbered them and went heavily for president obama. and you know this is reflected then in questions like, you know, which candidate cares about people like me? which candidate is going to reflect my interests, and for hispanics who w

las vegas, nevada. gentlemen, thank you very much. this is not the most serious story we have but it did go to court. that is why it is a legal story. >> well, if you're a possum, it is. >> and also if you're peta, first of all the owner has hosted the possum, in a town about hundred miles west of asheville in north carolina. and it involves trapping the possum in a cage and lowering it. now the judges seemed to not -- using a wild possum, the judge ordered them to release or kill the animal. that is the weird irony. so peta sued for the treatment of animals. it sounds funny, but there is a legal issue involved. >> i actually feel bad for the possum, i think the north carolina department of wildlife made up a permit so they could issue this to mr. logan. and i think the administrative law judge who wrote an 18-page opinion, among other things, patrick henry. was right. there is no right to capture or hold a wild animal. so at the end of the day no possum drop there unless the estate legislature changes the law, i don't think that is going to happen. >> who is timmy the guerill

, hello, florida! >> orerer. >> yaw actionerrerrerrer. >> texas, florida, nevada have no income tax and we moved ours to 13.3%. this is a huge invitation tore people to move out of the state and we've already seen it. we've already seen in terms of businesses huge capital, dislocation is what they call it. it means businesses leaving. we saw accelerated business flight out of california in 2011. 2012 was going to be worse. and 2013 is going to be even worse than that. >> steve: it looks like it. explain if you would how they used education as a bribe to get people to vote for this thing. >> both a bribe and extortion. the bribe was jerry brown waving $250 in front of college students saying this will be your rebate if you help me pass prop 30. the extortion was your tuition will increase if prop 30 fails. so look, this is a page out of the playbook in california. that is using students, both k through 12 and college students as human shields to get tax increases. what we need to do on our side for those of us who are fiscal conservatives, is really convince voters, connect the dots that th

is that this is over, if not tonight, at least tomorrow morning. >> the western states will play key as well, nevada, colorado. we weren't talking about those states in 2000, 2004, there will be a difference as well. >> david frum wrote no voting system is perfect. but here's what doesn't happen in other democracies, politicians of one party do not set voting schedules to favor their side and harm the other. politicians do not move around voting places to gain advantages of themselves or to disadvantage -- in fact, in almost no other country do politicians have any say in the administration of the elections at all. >> i agree. >> i worry about who has control of that process. >> in no other country do we spend so much time. this has been a year and a half almost. it feels like a year and a half since the primaries. >> it feels like five. >> in no other country is there -- really in few other countries is there early voting, absentee balloting. all the opportunities there are to vote in this country. >> we still don't have such a high percent of participation. maybe we should rethink how we do it. >>

night? >> in nevada we talk about the third race -- their district, but the fourth district. he lost in the senate primary in 2010. that is the type of district democrats need to win in order to do well. overall i will be watching the seats that republicans favored or even lean republican. the reason why that is how far our are competitive list race democrats have to start winning in defeating republican members in order to get close to the majority. for not winning the heavy -- heavily republican seats, that it will not enough. >> look of the big picture, the balance of power. look at where the president a strong comeback there romney is strong. will there be coattails for the house seats in state by state battles? >> i think the most impact we've seen from the presidential race has already happened. i know in talking to democrats that are running the races, that first debate was fundamentally important, not just because it shifted the presidential debate, but because it was a time when house candidates registered to go on television, try to prove a moderate credentials. that first

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